Predicting the Future of Divorce

The hardest part about talking about divorce rates is that most of the reports in the news are wrong….(see comments here about this).

The good news is that sociologist, Philip N. Cohen, who writes the blog, Family Inequality, gives nice description of how life tables are used to forecast the divorce rate.  His is a bit of his post


Life table says divorce rate is 52.7%

After the eternal bliss, there are two ways out of marriage: divorce or death.

I have posted my code and calculations for divorce rates using the 2010-2012 American Community Survey as an Open Science Framework project. The files there should be enough to get you started if you want to make multiple-decrement life tables for divorce or other things.

Centre for Out-of Court Divorce

There are all kinds of new legal processes and resources for managing divorce.  See the work of the Centre for Out-of-Court Divorce.

Divorce & Social Media– A Survey

dog meme

We are exploring how young people are using social media in dealing with their parents’ divorce. You can help if your parents divorced?  Do you use social media? Are you between 18-25? Our survey will take about 10 minutes.

Go here:



Divorce Research Update– J of D & Remarriage

Relocation, emerging adults, international perspectives.  The July 2015 issue of the Journal of Divorce and Remarriage.

A more complete list of research report about divorce, remarriage and stepfamilies published in 2015 or between 2010-2015.

Abela, A., Casha, C., Debono, M., & Lauri, M. A. (2015). Attitudes About Remarriage in Malta. Journal of Divorce & Remarriage, 56(5), 369-387. doi:

Al Gharaibeh, F. M. (2015). The Effects of Divorce on Children: Mothers’ Perspectives in UAE. Journal of Divorce & Remarriage, 56(5), 347-368. doi:

Jensen, T. M., & Bowen, G. L. (2015). Mid- and Late-Life Divorce and Parents’ Perceptions of Emerging Adult Children’s Emotional Reactions. Journal of Divorce & Remarriage, 56(5), 409-427. doi:

Saini, M., Allan-Ebron, D., & Barnes, J. (2015). A Critical Review of Relocation Research Specific to Separation and Divorce. Journal of Divorce & Remarriage, 56(5), 388-408. doi:

Useful Tool for European Marriage & Divorce Demographics

The best source for the latest information about marriage and divorce trends in European countries is Eurostat….. included in their site is a tool for creating graphs of the information.  See this example.

Example Eurostat Figure

Searching for Online Divorce Groups for Teens & Young Adults

In the next few months will be trying to identify and examine online support groups for teens and young adults.  Our plan is to try to understand the more about how these work, their reach and their effectiveness.

Here is the first one on the list:

Please send us links or comments about other groups like this.

A Child’s Perspective on Divorce

2014 in review

The stats helper monkeys prepared a 2014 annual report for this blog.

Here’s an excerpt:

The concert hall at the Sydney Opera House holds 2,700 people. This blog was viewed about 49,000 times in 2014. If it were a concert at Sydney Opera House, it would take about 18 sold-out performances for that many people to see it.

Click here to see the complete report.

Nice Graphic about Marriage & Divorce Statistics in US

GoFigure breaks down who's staying together and who's breaking up.


National Council on Family Relations– Divorce Presentations, Nov 19-22

The following presentations will be given at the annual meetings of the National Council on Family Relations, being next week, Nov 19-22.  Will link to copies of the papers and posters as they become available.

Wednesday, Nov 19

Fatherhood in Changing Times (Live Stream)

11:45 a.m.-12:45 p.m., lightning paper session

  • Father Involvement, Co-Parenting, and Adolescent Mothers’ Maternal Identity

Poster Session 4 – coparenting, divorce, stepfamilies

6:15-7 p.m., poster session

  • Parenting Together: Co-parenting Education for Never Married Parents
  • Coparental Cooperation and Conflict Following Divorce
  • Residential Mobility After Divorce: Implications for Divorce Education
  • Maintaining Relationships with Former Stepgrandchildren Following Remarriage Dissolution
  • Children’s Depression Change Over Time During the Process of Parents’ Divorce
  • The Stress Process of Divorce for Fathers
  • Multi-Systemic Constraints to Help Seeking Prior to Finalizing a Divorce
  • Family Relationships and Depression Among African American Stepfathers

Thursday, Nov 20

Sexual Coercion, Sexual Abuse, and Relational Violence

10-11:15 a.m., paper session

  • Violence, Coercive Control and Help-Seeking Among Divorcing Mothers
  • A Grounded Theory Analysis of Mothers’ Experiences of Nonviolent Coercive Control in Marriage and After Separation

Relationships After Remarriage

1:15-2:30 p.m., paper session

  • Marriage Order and Relationship Stability: A Propensity Score Analysis
  • Marital Happiness and Dyadic Interaction Patterns in Remarriage
  • Parental Role Negotiation Among Couples in Stepfather Families
  • Stepgrandparents’ Relationships with Stepgrandchildren

Friday, Nov 21


8:30-9:45 a.m., paper session

  • Prenatal Volatility in Daily Couple Closeness Predicts Postnatal Coparenting
  • Associations Between Coparenting and Infant-Parent Attachment Concordance
  • Coparenting Perceptions Across the Transition to Second-time Parenthood
  • Violence, Boundary Ambiguity, & Coparenting Quality Among Divorcing Mothers

Family Therapy Roundtable Symposium

2:45-4 p.m., roundtable symposium

  • Coparenting through Divorce: Key Factors and Best Practices for Creating Change

Saturday, Nov 22

Examining the Impact and Process of Union Dissolution (Live Stream)

8:30-9:45 a.m., paper session

  • Is Union Dissolution Always Harmful? Child Outcomes in Fragile Families
  • When are Union Transitions Bad for Children? Variation by Fathers’ and Mothers’ Characteristics
  • Do Attitudes About Cohabitation Mediate the Effects of Parental Cohabitation and Remarriage Happiness on Emerging Adults’ Risk Attitudes About Sex?
  • Divorced Yet Still Together: Ongoing Personal Relationship Among Divorced Co-parents

Relationship Development Across Time

8:30-9:45 a.m., paper session

  • Patterns of Stability and Marital Satisfaction in Newlywed Couples